July 24, 2021

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Heat Vs Celtics: NBA Basketball Betting Odds & Trends

4 min read

The Miami Heat (37-31) are just 2-point favorites as they try to build on a three-game road win streak when they visit the Boston Celtics (35-33) on Tuesday, May 11, 2021 at TD Garden. The contest airs at 7:30 PM ET on NBCS-BOS. The matchup’s point total is set at 225.5.

The betting insights in this article reflect odds data from FanDuel Sportsbook as of May 11, 2021, 11:40 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds.

Heat vs Celtics Betting Odds

Heat vs Celtics Props

Looking to bet on props for this game? Use our prop search tool to find the best odds across legal sportsbooks in the US.

Injury Report as of May 11

Victor Oladipo: Out (Knee)

Jaylen Brown: Out For Season (Wrist),
Robert Williams III: Day To Day (Foot)

Heat and Celtics Records ATS

  • Miami has covered the spread in less than half its games this season, playing to a record of 30-35-3 against the spread.
  • The Heat are 18-21-3 against the spread this season when they are at least a 2-point favorite.
  • Miami and its opponents have outscored the set over/under in 52.9{7fa3b261be9f6e223502da60297124ad6fb475451bbfa95d83adec4ef8622c39} of its games this season (36/68).
  • Boston has a 32-36 record ATS this season.
  • For the 41st time this season, the Celtics are at least a 2-point underdog, where they have a record of 20-20 against the spread.
  • Boston and its opponents have often hit the over this season, doing so in 52.9{7fa3b261be9f6e223502da60297124ad6fb475451bbfa95d83adec4ef8622c39} (36) of its 68 games played.

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Head to Head

The Heat got a team-high 26 points out of Jimmy Butler on the way to a 130-124 win against Evan Fournier (30 points) and the Celtics in their last matchup on May 9, 2021. The Celtics were 0.5-point favorites in the game, but the Heat covered the spread in the loss. The teams scored 254 total points to go over the 222.5-point over/under.

Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Game Type Result
5/9/2021 Celtics Celtics -0.5 222.5 -112 -108 Regular Season 130-124 MIA*
1/6/2021 Heat Heat -2.5 218 -137 114 Regular Season 107-105 BOS*
  • 5/9/2021 DNP –
    Celtics: Jaylen Brown
  • 1/6/2021 DNP – Heat: Kendrick Nunn;
    Celtics: Kemba Walker
  • Scoring Trends

    • Miami’s games this year have resulted in a higher total score than Tuesday’s matchup total (225.5 points) in 22 out of 68 opportunities (32.4{7fa3b261be9f6e223502da60297124ad6fb475451bbfa95d83adec4ef8622c39} of matchups).
    • In 54.4{7fa3b261be9f6e223502da60297124ad6fb475451bbfa95d83adec4ef8622c39} of Boston’s games this season (37 of 68), the total points scored was more than Tuesday’s 225.5-point over/under.
    • On average, the over/under in Heat games is 10.0 points fewer than the over/under of 225.5 points in this matchup.
    • The over/under for this game is 1.3 points more than the average over/under in Celtics’ games this season (224.2 points).
    • The Heat’s average implied point total this season is 2.6 fewer points than their implied total in Tuesday’s game (111.4 implied points on average compared to 114 implied points in this game).
    • So far this season, Miami has outscored its implied point total for this matchup (114) 19 times.
    • The 113.3-point average implied total on the season for the Celtics is 1.3 more points than the team’s 112-point implied total in this matchup.
    • Boston has scored more than 112 points in 36 games on the season.
    • The Heat are the NBA’s 25th-highest scoring team (107.6 PPG), while the Celtics allow their opponents the 12th-fewest points per game (111.3) in the league.
    • The Heat have been out-scored by 17 points this season (0.3 points per game on average), while the Celtics have put up 109 more points than their opponents on the year (1.6 per game).

    Heat Leaders

    • Butler leads the Heat in points and assists. He scores 21.6 points per game while adding 7.2 assists.
    • Butler’s PRA prop total for the contest is set at 33.5, 2.4 lower than his season average of 35.9.
    • Miami’s rebounding leader is Bam Adebayo, who grabs 9.0 per game.
    • Adebayo’s PRA prop over/under for the contest is set at 30.5, 2.7 less than his season average of 33.2.
    • Duncan Robinson is the top three-point shooter for the Heat, knocking down 3.5 per game.
    • Robinson’s three pointers made prop over/under for the contest is set at 3.5, equal to his season average of 3.5.
    • Miami’s blocks leader is Adebayo, who averages 1.0 per game. Butler leads the team averaging 2.1 steals a contest.
    • Butler’s steals prop total for the game is set at 1.5, 0.6 steals lower than his season average of 2.1.

    Celtics Leaders

    • Jayson Tatum owns the Celtics top spot in scoring with 26.3 points per game and also tacks on 7.3 rebounds and 4.4 assists per contest.
    • Tatum’s points prop total for the contest is set at 29.5, 3.2 points higher than his season average of 26.3.
    • Tristan Thompson (8.3 rebounds per game) and Marcus Smart (5.7 assists per game) are the Boston leaders in rebounds and assists.
    • Smart’s PRA prop total for the game is set at 23.5, 1.2 greater than his season average of 22.3.
    • Kemba Walker makes more threes per game than any other member of the Celtics, averaging 2.9 treys per game.
    • Walker’s three pointers made prop total for the contest is set at 4.5, 1.6 shots greater than his season average of 2.9.
    • Nobody on Boston grabs more steals than Smart (1.5 per game) or blocks more shots than Robert Williams III (1.8 per game).
    • Williams’ blocks prop total for the contest is set at 0.5, 1.3 blocks lower than his season average of 1.8.


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