July 24, 2021

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Astros Vs Twins: MLB Betting Odds & Trends

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The Houston Astros (36-28) and the Minnesota Twins (26-38) play on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET to break a 1-1 series tie. The Astros are favored (-139) to take the contest against the Twins (+120). Houston has Framber Valdez starting, while Minnesota counters Michael Pineda.

The betting insights and predictions in this article reflect betting data from DraftKings as of June 13, 2021, 2:00 AM ET. See table below for current betting odds and CLICK HERE to bet at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Astros vs Twins Betting Odds

Pitching Matchup

Valdez (HOU) Pitcher Pineda (MIN)
2 – 0 W/L 3 – 3
18.1 IP 52.0
1.47 ERA 3.46
0.870 WHIP 1.100
10.8 K/9 8.7
2.0 BB/9 2.4

Astros Probable Starter Framber Valdez

  • Valdez (2-0) gets the starting nod for the Astros in his fourth start of the season. He has a 1.47 ERA in 18 1/3 innings pitched, with 22 strikeouts.
  • The left-hander last appeared on Tuesday against the Red Sox, when he tossed 7 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up five hits.
  • The opposing Twins offense has the fourth-ranked slugging percentage (.431) and is first in MLB play with 93 home runs. They have a collective .243 batting average, and are seventh in the league with 524 total hits and 11th in MLB action scoring 296 runs.
  • The Astros are 2-1 in Valdez’s three starts this season with Houston as the moneyline favorite.

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 13, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Twins Stats vs Valdez

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
Andrelton Simmons 16 .125 2 2 3 .222 .722
Jorge Polanco 8 .500 4 0 0 .500 1.250
Nelson Cruz 7 .143 1 0 0 .143 .429
Willians Astudillo 3 .333 1 1 1 .333 1.666
Miguel Sanó 2 .500 1 0 0 .500 1.000

Twins Probable Starter Michael Pineda

  • The Twins’ Pineda (3-3) will make his 11th start of the season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 4 1/3 innings pitched against the Yankees on Wednesday.
  • The Astros are batting .270 this season, first in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .437 (second in the league) with 78 home runs.
  • His team has won 33.3{7fa3b261be9f6e223502da60297124ad6fb475451bbfa95d83adec4ef8622c39} of his starts when they are underdogs on the moneyline (1-2).

Starting pitcher projections reflect team information as of June 13, 2021 at 2:11 AM ET and may change up to the start of game.

Astros Stats vs Pineda

Player AB AVG H HR RBI OBP OPS
José Altuve 22 .318 7 0 2 .320 .729
Carlos Correa 19 .526 10 3 6 .545 1.756
Alex Bregman 14 .143 2 0 2 .143 .357
Yuli Gurriel 7 .000 0 0 0 .000 .000
Michael Brantley 6 .167 1 0 0 .167 .334
Martín Maldonado 5 .200 1 0 0 .200 .400

Astros Betting Trends

  • The Astros’ offense is averaging 5.5 runs in road games and 5.2 per contest when they play at home.
  • The Astros have the most prolific offense in baseball scoring 5.4 runs per game (344 total runs).
  • The Astros have been favored on the moneyline 48 total times this season. They’ve gone 26-22 in those games.
  • When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -139 or shorter, Houston has a record of 18-12 (60{7fa3b261be9f6e223502da60297124ad6fb475451bbfa95d83adec4ef8622c39}).
  • Houston has played in 64 games with a set over/under, and has combined with their opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-26-2).
  • Houston has a 3-4 record from the seven games it was favored on the moneyline over its last 10 matchups.

Twins Betting Trends

  • The Twins have scored the 11th-most runs in the league this season with 296 (4.6 per game).
  • They’ve scored 4.4 runs per game this season at home compared to an average of 4.9 per contest on the road.
  • The Twins have won nine, or 39.1{7fa3b261be9f6e223502da60297124ad6fb475451bbfa95d83adec4ef8622c39}, of the 23 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • This season, Minnesota has won three of its seven games when they’re the underdog by at least +120 on the moneyline.
  • So far this season, Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of their 63 games with a total.
  • In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as the underdog by sportsbooks, Minnesota has a record of 4-5.

Astros Players to Watch

  • Yuli Gurriel leads the Astros with 46 runs batted in while accumulating a team-high batting average of .327.
  • Among qualifying hitters in MLB play, Gurriel ranks 11th in hits (71), seventh in RBI (46), fifth in AVG (.327), sixth in OBP (.396), and seventh in SLG (.544).
  • Carlos Correa is hitting .281 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Among the qualifying batters in MLB, Correa’s 65 hits rank 18th, and his .485 SLG ranks 25th.

Astros Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Kyle Tucker 234 .261 40 12 41 .315 .802
Carlos Correa 231 .281 42 11 34 .365 .850
Jose Altuve 221 .290 43 12 30 .353 .833
Alex Bregman 220 .286 36 7 33 .360 .805
Yuli Gurriel 217 .327 31 10 46 .396 .940
Myles Straw 204 .250 23 0 21 .322 .621
Yordan Alvarez 198 .298 34 8 33 .347 .852
Michael Brantley 182 .324 27 3 17 .371 .844
Martín Maldonado 162 .167 17 4 17 .246 .524
Chas McCormick 79 .215 17 5 19 .298 .741

Twins Players to Watch

  • Nelson Cruz is batting .283 with 12 home runs and 30 RBI for Minnesota this season.
  • Cruz does not rank among the top hitters in baseball among qualified hitters in MLB.
  • Jorge Polanco has collected 54 hits this season and has an OBP of .320. He’s slugging .447 on the year.
  • Polanco ranks outside of the top 20 in hits, average and OBP among qualified hitters in the majors.

Twins Batting Stats (2021)

Player AB AVG R HR RBI OBP OPS
Jorge Polanco 215 .251 33 9 30 .320 .767
Nelson Cruz 187 .283 29 12 30 .355 .884
Josh Donaldson 179 .246 29 10 26 .344 .819
Miguel Sanó 169 .183 25 13 32 .276 .720
Andrelton Simmons 166 .253 18 2 14 .330 .661
Alex Kirilloff 118 .254 14 4 18 .294 .718
Willians Astudillo 115 .252 8 4 12 .263 .654
Trevor Larnach 91 .253 12 3 8 .382 .789
Ryan Jeffers 63 .190 6 2 7 .227 .576
Rob Refsnyder 53 .340 10 2 10 .379 .907

Astros vs Twins Player Props

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